Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Earnings
Should You Buy BABA Before Earnings?
Based on the last three years of earnings reports, buying BABA stock within four weeks before its earnings date yielded an average return of -0.91%.
The best time to buy before earnings was 1 day before, which yielded an average return of 0.22% by the earnings date. The worst time was 28 days before, which yielded an average return of -2.73%.
Report dates analyzed: Jan 31 2022 - Nov 14 2024*Disclaimer: Past performances is not a guarantee of future results.
Should You Buy BABA After Earnings?
Based on the last three years of earnings reports, on average, BABA has gone down -0.46% shortly after its earnings date. The stock bottoms around 14 days after earnings, where it is on average -1.75% lower than its closing price on the day of earnings.
Since BABA has typically gone down after earnings, it might be a good time to buy the dip if you believe in the stock long-term.
Report dates analyzed: Jan 31 2022 - Nov 14 2024*Disclaimer: Past performances is not a guarantee of future results.
Average Gains
The average return if you bought Alibaba Group Holding Ltd before its earnings report and sold at close on its earnings day.
Period | 28 Day Before | 21 Days Before | 14 Days Before | 7 Days Before | 1 Day Before | Day Of |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Past 4 Earnings | -0.68% | 0.34% | -0.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Past 8 Earnings | -1.02% | -0.80% | -0.48% | -2.24% | -0.45% | -0.57% |
Past 12 Earnings | -2.73% | -0.75% | 0.00% | -1.28% | 0.22% | -0.74% |
BABA Earnings History
Report Date | 28 Day Before | 21 Days Before | 14 Days Before | 7 Days Before | 1 Day Before | Day Of | 1 Day After | 7 Days After | 14 Days After | 21 Days After | 28 Days After |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-11-14 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2024-08-08 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2024-05-16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2024-02-21 | 75.20 -2.74% | 72.17 1.34% | 73.64 -0.68% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2023-11-15 | 83.01 4.89% | 81.03 7.45% | 82.48 5.57% | 84.80 2.68% | 83.87 3.82% | 87.07 0.13% | 79.11 -9.14% | 78.96 -9.31% | 74.67 -14.24% | 71.49 -17.89% | 71.46 -17.93% |
2023-08-02 | 84.30 12.78% | 94.00 1.14% | 92.09 3.24% | 97.14 -2.13% | 100.10 -5.03% | 95.07 -2.71% | 97.58 2.64% | 94.85 -0.23% | 89.12 -6.26% | 89.84 -5.50% | 93.65 -1.49% |
2023-05-24 | 82.82 -1.94% | 81.48 -0.33% | 82.95 -2.10% | 90.68 -10.44% | 82.88 -2.02% | 81.21 -1.16% | 78.78 -2.99% | 79.55 -2.04% | 85.28 5.01% | 89.36 10.04% | 86.77 6.85% |
2023-02-22 | 120.25 -21.18% | 112.82 -15.99% | 105.11 -9.83% | 103.08 -8.05% | 95.10 -0.34% | 94.78 -0.83% | 94.16 -0.65% | 89.95 -5.10% | 86.95 -8.26% | 81.51 -14.00% | 83.65 -11.74% |
2022-11-16 | 71.27 9.67% | 68.51 14.09% | 64.70 20.80% | 64.84 20.54% | 79.30 -1.44% | 78.16 -2.69% | 84.26 7.81% | 78.50 0.44% | 87.56 12.03% | 88.33 13.01% | 90.91 16.31% |
2022-08-04 | 122.39 -20.39% | 103.76 -6.10% | 105.13 -7.32% | 100.55 -3.10% | 95.72 1.79% | 97.43 -3.60% | 92.56 -5.00% | 94.87 -2.63% | 90.74 -6.87% | 99.89 2.53% | 93.71 -3.82% |
2022-05-11 | 100.03 -18.30% | 89.41 -8.59% | 88.32 -7.46% | 101.41 -19.41% | 84.57 -3.36% | 81.73 -4.42% | 81.09 -0.78% | 87.31 6.83% | 82.31 0.71% | 93.38 14.25% | 119.62 46.36% |
Methodology
We analyzed the past three years of BABA's earnings reports to calculate the average change in price of the stock before and after earnings.
Before Earnings
For calculating the average gains if you bought prior to earnings, we looked at the closing price of 5 different dates and compared them to the closing price of BABA on the day of the earnings report to calculate the return. The dates analyzed are:
- 28 days prior (4 weeks)
- 21 days prior (3 weeks)
- 14 days prior (2 weeks)
- 7 days prior (1 week)
- 1 day prior
This simulates an individual purchasing BABA stock on one of those days and selling on the day of the earnings report.
After Earnings
For calculating the average gains if you bought BABA stock on the day of earnings, we looked at the closing price of BABA on the day of the earnings and then compared it to 5 dates after. The dates analyzed are:
- 1 day after
- 7 days after (1 week)
- 14 days after (2 weeks)
- 21 days after (3 weeks)
- 28 day after (4 weeks)
This simulates an individual purchasing BABA stock on the day of the earnings report and then selling on one of the dates following.
Day of
To calculate the gains on the day of earnings, we compared the opening price of BABA to the closing price on the day of earnings - regardless if the earnings call was pre- or post-market.
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don’t let bears win
$BABA If options never existed
what do you think this stock would be trading at?